A tarpaulin at a U.S. treatment unit for Liberian healthcare workers infect with Ebola in Monrovia , Liberia , during the site ’s decommissioning on April 30 , 2015 . simulacrum Credit : Zoom Dosso / AFP / Getty Images

The 2013–2016 West African Ebola outbreak claimedat least 11,325 sprightliness and caused a recorded 28,652 infectionsbefore finally sunburn out . What if we overlook a one-fourth of those in reality infected ?

Anew theme ,   published in the journalPLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases , lends further stick out to the idea that a significant routine of individual can become septic with Ebola but not show symptoms . The research team investigatedEbola virus survivorsand their contacts , who often were quarantine together , between October 2015 and January 2016 in a Greenwich Village in Sierra Leone . Thirty - four caseful of Ebola virus disease had been diagnosed before the inquiry study start . Using antibody test to identify possible infection miss symptom , an extra 14 potential infection were identified . Twelve of those — a full 25 percent of the 48 total infections — report no symptoms at all . Two extra cases identified by antibody testing reported a fever but no other symptom of disease .

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We have recognized since 1989 that there is a metal money ofEbolaviruscalled Reston virus that can infect human being but come out to cause no symptom . But even with the morbific species ofEbolavirus , it is becoming increasingly readable that the computer virus make a spectrum of infections in man , range from symptomless transmission to decease . This is not especially surprising ; though pop civilization examples featuring Ebola – like   pathogen , such as12 MonkeysorOutbreak , propose that almost 100 percentage of those infect with their computer virus of choice will pop off , in reality , the severity of infection is a combination of many factor . If the host is loosely level-headed , usually they will be more potential to survive ( though healthy hosts can , occasionally , make an infection more dangerous , as happen with the1918 influenza pandemic ) . A boniface that has previously suffered a similar infection may have some immunity , and the disease will typically be less severe . Other continuing conditions , such as diabetes , may lead in a more serious infection .

anterior employment has come to like conclusion with harmful coinage ofEbolavirusas well . Sixteen year ago , Ebola virus antibodies and low levels of viral RNA were detectedin soul exposed to body fluid from infected affected role during outbreaks of the computer virus in Gabon . These individuals never themselves showed any symptom of Ebola virus disease . During the first knownEbolavirusoutbreak in 1976 , report suggested that19 percentof the contact of patient had also been infected , but with a very mild or symptomless infection .

However , studyingEbolavirusantibodies in the linguistic context of an epidemic is comparatively easy — you have confirm cases who have documented infection , so the timeline of exposure can be detail even for those who were exposed and infected but did not develop symptoms . What has been more difficult to prove scientifically is thatEbolavirusantibodies in field where there were not active irruption were a substantial phenomenon rather than a research lab artifact .

A 1982 newspaper publisher found evidence ofEbolavirusantibodies in Liberia—32 year before a full - shoot a line outbreak come on there . A standardised subject ofsamples collected from 2006 to 2008 in Sierra Leonealso suggested that 8.6 pct of those tested had antibodies toEbolavirus . More than5 percentof those prove in the Central African Republic , another country that has never seen an activeEbolavirusoutbreak , also had antibodies . We ca n’t be sure these antibodies were due to symptomless cases — they may have been survivor ofEbolavirusinfections that were misdiagnosed as Lassa feverishness , malaria , or other more vernacular infectious diseases — but if this research had been take and circulate decennium prior , perhaps extra surveillance could have identified the 2013–2016 irruption in the beginning and responded appropriately before it spiraled out of control .

These studies advise that the true effect ofEbolavirusinfections is importantly underestimated . During an epidemic , many more hoi polloi may be infected than is presently understand . An sympathy of how commonly symptomless contagion occur is decisive , as an unrecognized population of immune individuals could spay the dynamics of the infection and modifymathematical modelsused to predict spreadhead .

Indeed , when Reston virus was discovered , it was hop that a virus that induce these symptomless infection could be used to make an effective and safe vaccinum . That has n’t worked in experimental study , but there is still Leslie Townes Hope that if we could infer why some individuals do not become ill from the pathogenic Ebola viruses , we could use that information to inform additional subject of vaccines or treatments .

The recognition of symptomless infection also raises questions regarding long - term knottiness afterEbolavirusdisease . Many survivor reportchronic health problemsyears after the acute transmission ; could this pass off in asymptomatic survivors too ? We do n’t know now because they ’ve not been followed in these long - term study .

Perhaps most significantly , can asymptomatic survivors transmit the virus to others ? This seems unbelievable given that when measured , the symptomless cases had much lower levels of computer virus than patients with symptoms . Furthermore , decades of epidemiologic studies have repeatedly shown that the high risk of acquiringEbolaviruscomes from striking with infected trunk fluids from a sick patient role .

Finally , the increase evidence for asymptomaticEbolavirusinfections suggests the need to test for the virus even in locations where no documented irruption have fall out . We were decades behind the ball looking forEbolavirusin West Africa , and the result was the largestEbolavirusoutbreak on record by several society of order of magnitude . Rather than playing catch - up , these findings should encourage us to get in the lead of the curve and pass over more display case ofEbolavirusinfection disregardless of symptom severity , before we end up with a repetition of the West African irruption .